New Hampshire
Nothing too surprising out of New Hampshire last night. Kerry rode the momentum from Iowa pretty well. Everyone expected Dean, Kerry, and Lieberman to do well in New Hampshire because it’s their backyard. In the same way that Tsongas did well in 1992. The problem is that Dean really didn’t do all that well, considering he held a huge lead in the polls for a long time going into the campaign.
The real question now will be how can Edwards do in the South to keep himself in this thing. Clark may fade faster now than ever before with his no-show in Iowa and a disappointing virtual tie for third with Edwards. There’s been some buzz about a Kerry-Edwards ticket, but Edwards is saying no.
At the same time, Dean is trying to shake things up by demoting Joe Trippi right out of the campaign. Not a good sign for people in Camp Dean.
At this point, this race has really tightened up between the frontrunners — Kerry and Edwards — and those playing catch-up — Dean and Clark. I think next Tuesday will reveal a lot about how many of those names will stay in the race.
Keep in mind that the last two Democrats to win the White House have been Southerners, so those counting out Edwards should keep in mind his strong showing in Iowa and the upcoming primary in South Carolina which could easily bump him to the front of the line.
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