So today’s electoral map at EVP 2004 looks really scary. It has Bush 264, Kerry 264 with only Minnesota tied. With less than two weeks until the election, anyone who doesn’t think this thing is going to be close is crazy. The key to winning for Bush remains taking Florida and Ohio. Kerry can win Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Iowa, and Michigan, as long as Bush wins Ohio and Florida, he wins. That assumes a lot of other things (like Bush taking Wisconsin, Kerry taking Iowa and New Mexico), but I still think that if either Ohio or Florida goes to Kerry early on election night, it’s going to be tough.